Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 1-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
Result | ||
Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | FC Lviv |
78.84% ( -0.06) | 14.16% ( 0.04) | 7% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 42.51% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.93% ( -0.16) | 39.07% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.61% ( -0.17) | 61.39% ( 0.16) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.03% ( -0.05) | 7.97% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.86% ( -0.13) | 28.14% ( 0.12) |
FC Lviv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.19% ( -0.08) | 53.8% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.84% ( -0.05) | 87.15% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | FC Lviv |
2-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 11.56% 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 78.84% | 1-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.16% | 0-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 7% |
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