SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Veres had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Veres win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Veres | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
34.79% ( -0.34) | 25.78% ( -0.04) | 39.42% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( 0.14) | 49.38% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( 0.13) | 71.42% ( -0.13) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -0.13) | 27.26% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( -0.17) | 62.7% ( 0.17) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( 0.27) | 24.66% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( 0.37) | 59.18% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Veres | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 34.79% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.42% |
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