SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Inhulets had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Inhulets win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Inhulets |
42.28% ( 0.18) | 26.95% ( 0.04) | 30.77% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.87% ( -0.2) | 55.13% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.62% ( -0.17) | 76.38% ( 0.17) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0) | 25.78% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% | 60.72% ( 0) |
| Inhulets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( -0.26) | 32.79% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( -0.29) | 69.35% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Inhulets |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.27% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.77% |
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