SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vorskla Poltava in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
30.41% ( -0.12) | 25.45% ( -0.01) | 44.14% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.4% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.03) | 49.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.02) | 71.28% ( 0.02) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.98% ( -0.09) | 30.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.85% ( -0.11) | 66.15% ( 0.11) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( 0.05) | 22.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.3% ( 0.07) | 55.69% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.41% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.13% |
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