Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 26.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.