SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
61.92% ( 0.08) | 22.52% ( 0.01) | 15.56% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.57% ( -0.19) | 52.42% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.17) | 74.1% ( 0.17) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.54% ( -0.04) | 16.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.84% ( -0.08) | 46.16% ( 0.08) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.83% ( -0.24) | 46.17% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.15% ( -0.18) | 81.85% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 1-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 61.91% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.56% |
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