Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 47.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 25.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
