Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerro Largo in this match.
