Progreso
1 - 0
Cerro Largo

Martins Mungay (52' og.)
Heredia (15')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Loffreda (76'), Lew (85'), V (89')
Aguilera Davyt (56')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Progreso in this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Cerro Largo
37.51%	27.9%	34.6%

Both teams to score 48.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.07%

57.93%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.36%

78.64%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.22%

29.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15%

65.85%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.39%

31.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99%

68.01%

Score Analysis

Progreso 37.51%

Cerro Largo 34.6%

Draw 27.9%

Progreso	Draw	Cerro Largo
1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.51%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 10.84% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 2.9% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.6%