SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
43.42% ( -0.01) | 27.95% ( 0) | 28.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.44% | 59.56% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.1% ( -0) | 79.9% |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.78% ( -0.01) | 27.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.36% ( -0.01) | 62.64% ( 0.01) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% ( 0.01) | 36.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.44% ( 0.01) | 73.56% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo City Torque |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.86% Total : 43.42% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.63% |
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