Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
