SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Cerro |
49.07% ( 0.56) | 28.32% ( -0.03) | 22.61% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 40.59% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.27) | 64.1% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.74% ( -0.19) | 83.25% ( 0.19) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.52% ( 0.14) | 26.48% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.34% ( 0.19) | 61.66% ( -0.2) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.21% ( -0.69) | 44.79% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.23% ( -0.56) | 80.76% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 15.75% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.19)2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.61% |
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