Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.