SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (12.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Cerro Largo |
30.94% ( 0.12) | 30.36% ( 0.05) | 38.7% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 40.71% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.45% ( -0.14) | 66.55% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.04% ( -0.1) | 84.96% ( 0.1) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% ( 0.02) | 38.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.43% ( 0.01) | 75.57% ( -0.01) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( -0.18) | 33.44% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.93% ( -0.2) | 70.07% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 12.28% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.55% Total : 30.94% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.34% | 0-1 @ 14.22% 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.7% |
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