Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.