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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jan 31, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Luis Troccoli

Cerro
1 - 3
Torque

Klein (45+4')
Tancredi (12')
Gonzalez (26')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Del Prete (15'), Cabrera (45+3' og.), Coccaro (78')
Scotto (24'), (45+4'), (45+4'), Pizzichillo (66')
Arismendi (26')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 45.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
CerroDrawMontevideo City Torque
26.97%27.62%45.41%
Both teams to score 45.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.8%59.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.37%79.63%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06%37.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29%74.71%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97%26.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94%61.06%
Score Analysis
    Cerro 26.97%
    Montevideo City Torque 45.41%
    Draw 27.62%
CerroDrawMontevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 9.57%
2-1 @ 6.24%
2-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.5%
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.97%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 13.29%
0-2 @ 8.95%
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-3 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 3.89%
2-3 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.35%
1-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 45.41%

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