Cerro
1 - 1
Penarol

Cabrera (60' pen.)
Gonzalez (44'), Tancredi (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Urreta (22')
Urreta (35'), Herrera (41'), Formiliano (76')
Dawson (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (8.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Penarol
22.94%	26.7%	50.36%

Both teams to score 44.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.3%

58.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.76%

79.24%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67%

41.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15%

77.84%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.55%

23.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.55%

57.45%

Score Analysis

Cerro 22.94%

Penarol 50.36%

Draw 26.69%

Cerro	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 8.56% 2-1 @ 5.49% 2-0 @ 3.78% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.17% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.2% Total : 22.94%	1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 14.05% 0-2 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.01% 0-3 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 4.36% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.54% Total : 50.36%