Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.