Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.