Defensor
4 - 2
Maldonado

Lima (24', 68'), Rodriguez (55'), Coelho (58')
Cardacio (65'), Rojo (66')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Batista (60'), Gonzalez (88')
Pereyra (63'), Muniz (63'), Gonzalez (78'), Darias (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor Sporting	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
41.74%	26.67%	31.59%

Both teams to score 51.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.21%

53.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.74%

75.26%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56%

25.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.73%

60.27%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47%

31.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08%

67.92%

Score Analysis

Defensor Sporting 41.73%

Deportivo Maldonado 31.59%

Draw 26.67%

Defensor Sporting	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.59%