Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.