Boston River
1 - 5
Danubio

Miguel Larrosa MArtinez (28')
Fernandez (67'), Lozano (75'), Olaizola Paraduja (78'), Alberti (81')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Siri (23', 64', 71'), Luis Rodriguez (44'), Rodriguez (90')
Sosa (9'), Ichazo (9'), Luis Rodriguez (60'), Mendez (74'), Romana (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Danubio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
Boston River	Draw	Danubio
33.39%	27.28%	39.33%

Both teams to score 49.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.26%

55.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.12%

76.87%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.71%

31.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.36%

67.64%

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35%

27.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8%

63.2%

Score Analysis

Boston River 33.39%

Danubio 39.33%

Draw 27.28%

Boston River	Draw	Danubio
1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.95% Total : 33.39%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 8.65% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.28%	0-1 @ 11.12% 1-2 @ 8.31% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.33%