Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.