Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
