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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Mar 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino

Progreso
1 - 1
Maldonado

Roldan (84')
Ferreira (18')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cantera (45+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawDeportivo Maldonado
43.64%27.14%29.22%
Both teams to score 48.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55%56.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55%77.45%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33%25.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42%60.58%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36%34.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.64%71.36%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 43.64%
    Deportivo Maldonado 29.22%
    Draw 27.13%
ProgresoDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 12.09%
2-1 @ 8.72%
2-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.73%
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.89%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.43%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 5%
1-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 29.22%

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