SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 34.6% | 27.37% | 38.03% |
| Both teams to score 49.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.06% | 55.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.96% | 77.04% |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% | 30.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.17% | 66.83% |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.51% | 28.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.73% | 64.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.59% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.72% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-3 @ 3.41% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.07% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.02% |
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