Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.