Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.