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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 5, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
L(

Defensor
0 - 3
Liverpool


Camargo (41'), Rodriguez (50'), (61'), Bernal (72'), Abaldo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mallo (22' og.), M. Gonzalez Maciel (38'), Rodriguez Elduayen (57')
Carneiro (64'), Figueredo (72'), Cayetano (80'), Lemos (84'), (90+2'), (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Liverpool.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawLiverpool
31.44%26.78%41.78%
Both teams to score 50.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.73%54.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.33%75.67%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13%31.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.68%68.32%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35%25.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46%60.54%
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 31.44%
    Liverpool 41.77%
    Draw 26.77%
Defensor SportingDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 9.35%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 5.34%
3-1 @ 2.77%
3-0 @ 2.04%
3-2 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 31.44%
1-1 @ 12.71%
0-0 @ 8.17%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 11.12%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 7.57%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.77%

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