Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.