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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 7, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
L(

Penarol
1 - 0
Liverpool

Ceppelini (45+3' pen.)
Alvarez (66'), Gonzalez (69'), (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pintos (4'), Perez (62'), Martirena (73')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Liverpool.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
PenarolDrawLiverpool
48.27%26.86%24.87%
Both teams to score 46.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.18%57.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.45%78.55%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72%58.29%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99%39.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.27%75.73%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 48.27%
    Liverpool 24.87%
    Draw 26.86%
PenarolDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 13.36%
2-0 @ 9.53%
2-1 @ 8.97%
3-0 @ 4.53%
3-1 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 48.27%
1-1 @ 12.58%
0-0 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 8.82%
1-2 @ 5.92%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.33%
0-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 24.87%

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