Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.