Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
