Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.