Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 36.35%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.