Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.