Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Liverpool and Cerrito.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.