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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Aug 15, 2021 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
L(

Nacional
1 - 0
Liverpool

Corujo (4')
Trezza (19'), Ocampo (22'), Trasante (26'), Rochet (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Figueredo (7'), Rodrigo Pintos Chagas (54'), Viega (71')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Liverpool.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawLiverpool
36.71%27.19%36.09%
Both teams to score 50.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85%55.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61%76.39%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1%28.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23%64.76%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73%29.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77%65.22%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 36.7%
    Liverpool 36.08%
    Draw 27.19%
NacionalDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.7%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.7%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.46%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 10.38%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-2 @ 6.38%
1-3 @ 3.25%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.08%

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