Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Villa Espanola win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
