Penarol
2 - 0
Cerrito

Nahuelpan (47'), Kagelmacher (50')
Canobbio (43'), Musto (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ferreira (34'), William Marcenaro Nieves (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerrito.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Cerrito
57.41%	24.04%	18.55%

Both teams to score 46.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.26%

53.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78%

75.22%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.45%

18.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.2%

49.8%

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.85%

43.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.58%

79.42%

Score Analysis

Penarol 57.39%

Cerrito 18.55%

Draw 24.04%

Penarol	Draw	Cerrito
1-0 @ 13.48% 2-0 @ 11.35% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 0.95% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.22% Total : 57.39%	1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.73% 1-2 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.78% Total : 18.55%