Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
