Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 22.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
