Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
