SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
58.23% ( -0.29) | 23.05% ( 0.02) | 18.71% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( 0.29) | 49.69% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( 0.26) | 71.71% ( -0.26) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( -0) | 16.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.27% ( -0) | 46.72% |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% ( 0.48) | 40.61% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% ( 0.43) | 77.2% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 58.23% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.71% |
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