SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 65.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Liverpool |
65.16% ( -0.26) | 19.9% ( 0.05) | 14.93% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.6% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.26% ( 0.19) | 42.74% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.85% ( 0.19) | 65.14% ( -0.19) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.66% ( -0.02) | 12.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.86% ( -0.03) | 38.14% ( 0.03) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.86% ( 0.4) | 41.14% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.32% ( 0.36) | 77.68% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.4% Total : 65.15% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 19.9% | 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.93% |
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