Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.