Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.