Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
