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F
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Parque Capurro
P

Fenix
1 - 0
Penarol

Vega (83')
Nunez (73'), Pallas (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gargano (73'), Ramos (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.63%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
FenixDrawPenarol
14.28%21.41%64.31%
Both teams to score 45.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57%50.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.63%72.37%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.2%46.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.67%82.33%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85%15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.54%43.46%
Score Analysis
    Fenix 14.28%
    Penarol 64.3%
    Draw 21.41%
FenixDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 5.33%
2-1 @ 3.84%
2-0 @ 2.02%
3-1 @ 0.97%
3-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 14.28%
1-1 @ 10.11%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 3.64%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 13.31%
0-2 @ 12.63%
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-3 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 6.07%
0-4 @ 3.79%
1-4 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-5 @ 1.44%
2-4 @ 1.09%
1-5 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 64.3%

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