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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Nov 19, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Parque Capurro

Fenix
2 - 1
Maldonado

Amaral (31'), Viera (60')
Mejia (68'), Rodriguez (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Tealde (54')
Gonzalez (46'), Casas (68'), Lima (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenix would win this match.

Result
FenixDrawDeportivo Maldonado
37.75%26.95%35.3%
Both teams to score 51.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79%54.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38%75.62%
Fenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57%63.43%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7%29.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73%65.27%
Score Analysis
    Fenix 37.75%
    Deportivo Maldonado 35.3%
    Draw 26.95%
FenixDrawDeportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 37.75%
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.16%
2-2 @ 5.03%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6.14%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.3%

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