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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Jan 30, 2021 at 1pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
L(

Progreso
0 - 4
Liverpool


Loffreda (11'), Ferreira (74'), Mendez (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ignacio Ramirez (33'), Medina (50'), Bueno (83', 89')
Candido (11')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Liverpool.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Progreso had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Progreso win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawLiverpool
26.93%26.51%46.57%
Both teams to score 48.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.77%55.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.54%76.46%
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.2%35.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.42%72.58%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.81%
Score Analysis
    Progreso 26.93%
    Liverpool 46.56%
    Draw 26.5%
ProgresoDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 8.71%
2-1 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.59%
3-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.93%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.48%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.21%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-2 @ 8.79%
1-3 @ 4.34%
0-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.56%
0-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.56%

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